Necessary or contingent?

praktike:

More people are asking the question that Greg Djerejian poses here: "Was Failure Pre-Ordained, or Was It Gross Incompetence?"

I'm working on a longer piece about this, so let me give you a short answer: it depends.

Unfortunately, if the incompetence hadn't been pre-ordained, I would be solidly in Greg's camp:

I can't help feeling a more talented team that understood counterinsurgency doctrine, believed in the import of nation-building, didn't go to war with swagger and arrogance, and relied more heavily on regional experts who understood the depths of the ferocity of ethnic tension among Kurds, Shi'a and Sunni--I can't help wondering whether a more convincing effort could have been waged, one where we might have had a better chance at creating a viable, unitary nation-state in Iraq, one moving in a genuinely democratic direction even, rather than crude majoritarianism and incipient civil war.

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